Space Access Update #72 5/23/97 Copyright 1997 by Space Access Society ________________________________________________________________________ We're once again concentrating on the government end of the cheap launch business, not because that's the only place things are happening - far from it! - but because things are happening in the government end that need immediate attention from us activists. The commercial startups that we, honest, will tell you about RSN, are for the moment taking care of their own business, preparing to build and fly low-cost space launch vehicles in the next couple of years, with no need for anything from outside but investment. We can but envy them - at least until they are ready to fly; then they'll need all the help they can get to make sure they aren't grounded by inappropriate regulation. More on that RSN... ________________________________________________________________________ Stories this issue: - SAU #71 "X-33 Special Issue" Followup: Corrections, NASA Source Selection Comments Clarification - X-33 News: Organizational Changes for NASA RLV Office, Emergency Weight-Control "Tiger Team" Redesign Commences In Palmdale - After X-33, What? NASA "Future X" Organization Proposals - House Authorizes Major New SSTO X Vehicle Funding in HR 1275 - Signs Of Life In USAF: "Integrated Concept Team" Starts Defining Future Space Sortie Needs - Phillips Labs Begins Ground "Integrated Technology Testbed" Project - SAS Alert: DOD Reusable Rocket Funding Needs Support ________________________________________________________________________ X-33 Special Issue (SAU#71) Followup My. We'd almost forgotten what it's like to go public with a controversial position. We've gotten all sorts of interesting feedback (much of it supportive) regarding our assertion that the X-33 project has problems and our recommendation that a combination of axe-poised oversight and vigorous external competition be applied. For the record, we don't toss rocks into people's ponds because we enjoy it, even though it may seem that way to the people getting splashed. We do it when we see it as necessary to our job, pushing for radically cheaper access ASAP, and when we do, we try to be careful what we say and how we say it. Of course, sometimes we screw up anyways - we express a delicate point poorly, or we just flat out make an error of fact. We do have a couple of likely factual errors to 'fess up to from the special X-33 SAU #71, plus some clarification on a critical point. - Rockwell X-33 Bid First, we're told by someone who should know that Rockwell's X-33 bid actually included closer to two-thirds the ~$250m overall corporate contribution of Lockheed-Martin's winning bid, not one-third as we wrote in SAU #71. So much for neat mathematical correspondences between current spacelaunch cashflow in need of protection and proposed X-33 contributions... On the other hand, existing spacelaunch (their half of the USA Shuttle operations partnership, ongoing Shuttle orbiter upgrades, Rocketdyne's engine business) was proportionally a far more important part of the then-Rockwell aerospace division's business. - TPS Change Correction We mentioned Titanium Aluminide (TiAl) composite as a thermal protection system "shingle" surface (the NASP X-30 program did some work on the material) that was being dropped from X-33 for budgetary reasons. We're left somewhat puzzled, because our original source was both in a position to know, and definite on TiAl being dropped in favor of inconel metal on some of the shingles for cost reasons. But we've since been told, also by someone in a position to know, that what's actually happening is that the original plan called for two types of metallic TPS shingles, inconel-surfaced for the higher temperature areas, and plain-titanium surfaced (not TiAl composite) for the lower- temperature areas on the vehicle's re-entry leeside, and that the cost- reduction change is to replace some or all of the leeside titanium shingles with existing-technology fiber thermal protection blankets. It would be a lot easier to evaluate this sort of thing if all 48 pages of X-33 technical details in the NASA-LockMart Cooperative Agreement weren't being kept unavailable to us mere taxpayers. We do note that the two stories are not actually mutually exclusive - both may well have a basis in fact. And now you know what we know on this... - NASA Source Selection Criticism Clarification & Editorial Rant Next, the clarification: We mentioned NASA's source selection process several times in SAU #71. We quote ourselves: "And NASA's Old Boy Net has.. ...a lock on the NASA source selection process. ...NASA needs to take a serious look at how they might find truly impartial people to serve on selection boards." ..(Lockheed-Martin) played the NASA selection process like a violin, with a bid carefully tailored to match NASA's Shuttle-shaped vision of the notional future X-33 derived RLV..." "...but then if NASA allowed that to affect their selection process, it's NASA's fault, not Lockheed-Martin's. (We strongly recommend NASA take a serious look at recruiting source selection board members from outside the NASA-Academia Old Boy Net.)" Apparently our saying these things has caused some - consternation? Perhaps "annoyance" is a better word - at NASA. Looking back over what we said, we stand by it - but we left something implied that needs to be made explicit, something that believe it or not we've been soft- pedalling these last few years, in the hope that quiet diplomacy would help. Quiet diplomacy, alas, seems to have gotten us nowhere. - Editorial Rant We won't go into detail - too many sources in and out of NASA could get into hot water. We will simply say that over the last few years we have bit by bit accumulated very, very good reason to believe that people making the decisions at NASA reject wingless vertical landing (VL) as an RLV research option on a largely emotional knee-jerk basis. People at NASA now blame this on all the harangueing they've seen from VL advocates; VL advocates will tell you they only spoke their piece so loud and often because NASA wasn't listening in the first place. At this point it doesn't matter who started it. What matters is that the nation's official lead reusable space transportation R&D agency is arbitrarily refusing to consider seriously a technical option that has significant potential advantages in minimizing both ground support and turnaround time - advantages very much needed (however achieved) both for genuine competitive commercial operations and for pressing near- future national security missions. We see no further point in trying to convince NASA. We've seen them ignore what multiple sources tell us was the operational and managerial frontrunner in the initial X-33 source selection evaluations, in favor of a weaker proposal that has since begun to graphically demonstrate its weaknesses, for stated reasons that don't make a great deal of sense to us. More recently we've seen them claiming repeatedly they can be trusted to handle defence RLV R&D too, even as they pay no more than lip-service to dispersed operations and low-cost fast turnaround (measured in hours not days) - major defense RLV needs. We've seen multiple other assorted ugliness as various bits of NASA ground their local axes at the expense of cheap access. Enough. We hope NASA will learn from X-33 and X-34. We stand ready to support them in salvaging what they can of their current RLV efforts, and in moving forward into a more focussed and useful ongoing space X-vehicle program (See "Future X" story later this issue.) But as far as we're concerned, NASA has made it unmistakeably clear that trusting them as sole custodian of the nation's reusable launch R&D effort is unwise. We think they require institutional competition, both to keep them honest and to cover their blind spots. We think the Defense Department is the place for this competition. We think that something approximating an 80:20 split between NASA and DOD of (increased) overall Federal RLV R&D funding would support this competition without contradicting the current Administration policy of NASA being the lead agency for such work. In this time of shrinking overseas presence and growing overseas commitments, DOD is coming to realize they will soon need affordable fast-turnaround space sortie capability for far more than routine satellite launch. We intend to work for a limited DOD program to look at key space sortie technologies, because we think NASA can't/won't do it, and because we think the benefits spread well outside DOD. Fedex, for instance, has needs a lot closer to DOD's than to NASA's... NASA in fact has serious problems with their source selection process. X-33 was relatively mild; nothing illegal or massively unethical as far as we can tell, just a half-dozen of the Old Boys picking the wrong ship for the wrong reasons. We've seen and heard of far worse elsewhere in NASA; we recommend reform - but reforming NASA is not our job. Getting radically cheaper access to space ASAP is. ________________________________________________________________________ Emergency X-33 "Tiger Team" Review Underway Projected X-33 weight has grown to the point where it's beginning to look like the ship could have problems flying the planned high-speed test distance. The aerodynamic design seems to be getting steadily more complex and difficult. A number of the new technologies included in the package, uh, look like costing more and taking longer than expected. To some degree, these are all predictable events in the design process of an experimental high-performance aerospace vehicle. They don't always happen, but they often do, and they're often overcome. NASA is however taking X-33's problems seriously enough to have initiated a "tiger-team" review of the project. The entire NASA HQ X-33 program office has flown out to Palmdale and will spend the next month in a no-holds-barred effort to trim excess weight and, we suspect, to thrash out how much downscoping of the original configuration might be acceptable. We remind everyone involved that too many pieces dropped from the package of new technologies that helped win the source selection could cause mutterings of "bait and switch" and erosion of political support for project funding, absent significant contractor concessions elsewhere. And we wish everyone involved whatever mix of strong coffee and fresh insight it takes to make this project fly after all. (Sleep deprivation is inspirational, honest!) Good luck, guys. ________________________________________________________________________ NASA RLV Organizational Changes Gary Payton's Reusable Launch Vehicle (RLV) office at NASA HQ has been kicked around a bit over the last year. They started out in NASA HQ "Code X", the Office of Space Access & Technology, under an Associate Administrator, Dr. Jack Mansfield. Code X was eliminated in an HQ reorganization last year, and RLV was moved over to "Code R", NASA's advanced aeronautics division, with provision for Payton to report directly to Administrator Goldin. The latest change as we understand it involves Payton reporting to the head of Code R, Associate Administrator Robert Whitehead, rather than directly to Goldin. We're not sure the direct report to Goldin was ever official in any case. ________________________________________________________________________ After X-33, What? NASA "Future X" Proposals NASA has a problem with RLV work in the future: Currently, there's about $100 million a year budgeted for baseline technology work, and perhaps three times that for one major RLV project, X-33. Once X-33 is done a couple years from now (or, we might add, if it's cancelled before then) on current plans the RLV budget drops back to ~$100 million per year total, possibly less, depending on the level of pressure on NASA's overall budget. Even we will concede that $100 million a year is not enough for NASA to get much useful RLV work done. Possibly if that entire amount were given to a lean, aggressive, low-overhead, relaxed-purchase-regs outfit for four or five years, we might see a useful near-orbital X-vehicle come of it. But while NASA RLV is showing some promising signs of understanding how to work lean and aggressive, nothing done in NASA is low-overhead these days, and the purchasing paperwork is waived for nobody when the checks have eight zeroes on 'em. If NASA RLV is to accomplish anything significant once they've gotten past their current learning experiences, they'll need more funding. NASA's initial response to this problem was to propose the X-37, an X-33 followon whose sole consistant characteristic has been that it would cost about as much per year as X-33. All else was flexible - rocket, airbreathing, winged, VTVL... NASA fairly obviously preferred a sexy airbreathing hypersonic version, but X-37 was sold as whatever flavor X- vehicle people might support funding for. We came to call it the X-37 FCV among ourselves, the "Funding Continuity Vehicle". Someone in NASA noticed that X-37 had aquired too much baggage, and the designation has now been officially abandoned. We had a couple problems with X-37 as it stood. The airbreathing "combined-cycle" engine technology showed no sign of being ready in the proposed timeframe. Initial subscale flight tests of bits of the technology won't even start for another year or two, in the "Hyper-X" program - which as a series of innovative quick-and-cheap experimental flight test vehicles, we strongly support, by the way. Though we suspect that the data from Hyper-X will support our contention that airbreathing as a way to cut costs over reusable rockets is a chimera - but that's an argument for another day... In any case, we felt that it's a mistake to count on non-existant engines for an X-vehicle project; waiting for working engines tends to defeat the whole fast- paced purpose of X, dragging out schedules and multiplying costs NASP-style. We also felt, and still feel, that putting all of NASA's eggs into a single-design, single-vehicle project was a mistake with X-33 and would be a mistake for any followon. We've seen the position that capture of a single-design X-33 has put NASA in - Administrator Goldin felt compelled to state in public last week that progressive Shuttle upgrades from LockMart's competitor BoMacRock look like offering at least as much future NASA cost savings as LockMart's idea of an X-33 derived Shuttle replacement. Presumably this was a message to Lockhed-Martin. We see no reason to believe that putting the bulk of NASA's RLV R&D money into another winner-take-all project will work out any better than it has to date in the first such - the main question will be which of the big two will get the option to sit on a monopoly and protect the status quo next time. We believe that NASA needs to do multiple X- projects within the available budget - realistically speaking, within something not a whole lot more than the current ~$400 million a year. We believe NASA can actually fit multiple useful space X-projects within such a budget, by dint of one change from the current X-33 model: Don't tag new-tech developments onto such projects. Do new-tech, yes, but as separate items in the background, to be incorporated in future flight vehicle projects once they're ready. Depending on who you ask, the actual cost of the current X-33 flight vehicle is between half and two-thirds the $1.2 billion total. The rest is going for developing new technologies - engines, TPS, tanks... Useful new technologies, yes, but none of them essential to X-33's mission of finding out what it takes to repeatedly fly a near-orbital reusable rocket. All of these new technologies are appropriate things for NASA to be doing - in the background, as ground-development items, at a relaxed pace and at relatively smaller annual cost, to be used in flight vehicles only when they're ready. Given this change, given a modest increase in current NASA RLV funding, given attention to staggering start-dates so peak funding requirements don't coincide, NASA can afford to keep a couple of X-33-class integrated flight-vehicle projects underway at any given time, plus a larger number of relatively cheap single-technology flight test projects, plus an steady ongoing ground-development program to bring advanced new technologies to the point where they're ready to fly. Miracle of miracles, the people at NASA RLV more or less agree with us - the preceding is essentially what they briefed to the head of Code R and to the Administrator as "Future X" last month. (Please don't fire them for agreeing with us!) "Future X" makes the somewhat optimistic assumption that their funding can grow ~50% to $600 million a year by FY 2000. We suspect a ~25% increase over current FY'97 RLV levels to ~$500 million is actually quite realistic, given both the easing Federal budget crunch and the importance of hi-tech R&D. (And who knows, $600 million might happen.) Future X then looks at spending that money in three tiers, starting with about $150 million a year in an ongoing Advanced Space Technology Program, ASTP, doing development and ground test of new technologies in structures, tanks, engines, thermal protection, avionics/software, and operations. The next tier is about $100 million a year in "Pathfinder" flight demonstrations. Pathfinder projects are defined as narrow-focus demos of single high-risk, high-payoff technologies, flying in less than two years for less than $100 million total - generally a lot less. Hyper-X (four rocket-boosted subscale hypersonic airbreather test vehicles for about $100 million total) is an example of a top-end Pathfinder project, while a proposed demo of a 4000 degree hafnium diboride sharp leading- edge sample on a classified DOD reentry vehicle for a couple of million dollars is typical of the bottom end. The next tier is "Trailblazer" integrated flight demonstrations: X-vehicles. If costs can in fact be kept down to the $500 million to $600 million range by leaving out the new-tech tag-ons, NASA could afford to keep one and a half to two such projects underway continuously, starting a new one every two to three years. There are a couple points about "Future X" we're not entirely thrilled with. "Verify... ...business viability of integrated technologies" makes us nervous, given how badly undue weight to a very hypothetical "business plan" is turning out in X-33. We've said it before - NASA really isn't playing their strong suit when they try to evaluate "business viability". Better stick to demonstrating potentially useful operations and let the businessmen worry about business viability, guys. "Costs shared with end-users" makes us a bit nervous too - again, if you're flying an X-vehicle, it's not all that clear yet who the end- users will be. Yes, there's a case to be made for the winning bidder coughing up a share of the costs - if they succeed, they may well have a couple years head-start on a new market, what with having the only team with hands-on experience working for them. But we've seen the distorting effect combining cost-sharing with an effective monopoly can produce - cost-sharing needs to be very much deemphasized if the winning bidder has succeeded merely by taking the bid. But overall, "Future X" looks like an effective direction for NASA Reusable Launch R&D to take on the (by government standards) limited funding likely to be available. We endorse the plan, and we intend to work toward funding it. ________________________________________________________________________ House Authorizes Major New SSTO X Vehicle Funding in HR 1275 Briefly, the House NASA Authorization bill this spring contained a surprise: Significant funding, in the hundreds of millions, for a followon to X-33. It's a long way from this to a final appropriation bill signed by the President, but it's a major step in the direction of properly funding "Future X". There are a couple problems with the precise languge of the bill. It calls for a single winner-take-all project again, which as previously noted we do not think is the best approach. It also calls for this single project to include technologies "more advanced than" those in X-33, which we also think may not be the best approach, given that a significant part of X-33's current problems stem from inclusion of new technologies not yet quite ready for flight. And in fact, Aviation Week editorialized "An X-33 Followon? Aim Lower Technically" in their May 5th issue. These problems can be ironed out though as the budget process grinds forward. What's truly significant here is the broad Congressional support evidenced for continuing RLV R&D funding at NASA. Our congratulations to the Space Subcommittee people who made this happen. ________________________________________________________________________ USAF ICT Study The US Air Force did a remarkable thing last winter: It put together an "Integrated Concept Team" from across the various affected USAF commands to look at how the USAF should be using space over the next few decades, beyond the obvious step of getting current satellite launch costs down. The ICT spent a lot of time examining "space sortie" concepts, potential missions where the ability to pop into or through space briefly, on short notice at an affordable cost, might enhance national security. Given the current trend of falling budgets, reduced force structure, reduced overseas basing, but level or increased overseas commitments, the ability to affordably be anywhere in the world from mainland US bases on an hour's notice is understandably attractive. The key word here though is "affordable" - military space sortie vehicles have been looked at since the forties; the conclusion has generally been "not yet", either because the technology just wasn't ready yet, or more recently because the technology to do it was just too damn expensive. (We suspect strongly that some of the unidentified aerospace vehicle sightings of the last decade add up to an experimental seventies-technology "black" space sortie vehicle that turned out to be impossibly expensive to operate. But that's only an educated guess.) What's changed recently is that the current state of the art in reusable rockets actually gives some hope of flying space sortie missions affordably - IE, less expensively than the overseas-based reconaissance and strike assets they'd replace, or cost-effectively in the case of new capabilities they'd bring. Looking at articles that have appeared in the open press and reading between the lines, the ICT seems to have taken a serious look at the possibility of multi-role reusable rocket vehicles that could make orbit single-stage with a relatively small, couple of thousand pounds payload, or could alternatively carry a much larger payload onto a suborbital trajectory then land a few thousand miles downrange - this larger payload could be a reconaissance sensor package, an orbital payload with an appropriate "kick" stage, or any number of other things worth delivering precisely over long distances on short notice. "Packages of military significance", as one gentleman put it - though it should be noted that sometimes delivering the right two pound spare part to the far side of the world on a couple hours notice is far more militarily significant than delivering thousands of times that weight of ordnance. "Amateurs talk weapons and tactics, professionals talk logistics." Be that as it may, the USAF is now seriously considering these possibilities for the first time in a while. The process grinds slowly though; official USAF requests for long-lead R&D funding are still likely a year or two away. But it's a start. ________________________________________________________________________ Phillips Labs ITT Meanwhile, our old friends at USAF Phillips Labs are making the best of the $10 million which was all we ended up able to pry loose for them last year, after DC-XA went down. They've allocated $8 million of that to start up an Integrated Technology Testbed (ITT), a ground test rig that will combine computer simulation and generic reusable rocket space- sortie vehicle components. The idea is to then repeatedly test different combinations of hardware and software on the cheap, to wring out bugs and learn as much as possible ahead of any future space-sortie flight vehicle project decision. Obviously on $8 million, there's going to be mainly simulation software and not a lot of test hardware in the loop. The project managers are realistic about the funding uncertainties; they've set things up so they'll be able to scale the project to the available funding, producing at least some useful results at not much more than their current level, but able to scale up the effort and produce far more if significantly increased funding becomes available, adding on lightweight tanks, avionics, structures, TPS, propulsion, and so forth to the hardware end of things, testing more authentically and more often as the money becomes available. But the Air Force hasn't worked its official space-sortie requirements definition process around to the point of asking for money for initial research this year. The gears grind slowly. (At least they are now grinding...) Once again, if there is to be any money for this work at Phillips in FY'98, Congress will have to intervene and add it. Which is where we all come in... ________________________________________________________________________ Alert: Support DOD Reusable Rocket Component Test Funding The USAF Phillips Labs space sortie vehicle Integrated Technology Testbed could usefully absorb far more money than we realistically think we can get for them this year. We're asking for a relatively modest $75 million in FY'98 R&D funding for this effort. If we get this, or a substantial part of it, they should be able to move out fast and have a lot of useful data on repeated reuse of representative space sortie vehicle components, operated on a simulated vehicle, by the time the USAF gets to the point of making real decisions on all this. Such data could save a huge amount of both time and money a few years from now. Such data could also be immensely useful to efforts to develop commercial reusable space vehicles for applications where distributed basing and routine hours-not-days turnaround are important - worldwide express package delivery to name just one. The House Defense Authorization bill is currently due to be "marked up" in the House National Security R&D Subcommittee when Congress comes back from Memorial Day recess, the first week of June. The staffers are already doing the advance work; it's important to get our two cents worth into the process ASAP, this coming week. If you live in the district of one of the R&D Subcommittee members (see attached list), we ask you to call, write, or fax their Washington office and ask that they support adding $75 million in the Defense Authorization to PE 603401F (this is a temporary PE #, but it will do for now) for reusable space sortie research at USAF Phillips Labs. If you call, ask for the staffer who handles Defense R&D. As likely as not you'll get their voicemail. Live or voicemail, tell them who you are and that you're from their district, then ask them to support adding $75 million to PE603401F in the Defense Authorization for reusable space sortie vehicle preliminary research at USAF Phillips Labs, then (if you caught them live) answer any questions they have as best you can, then thank them for their time and ring off. Chances are the staffer you talk to is overworked, underpaid, and takes a lot of flack from constituents - be polite, always! If you write or fax, address it to the LA ("legislative assistant") for defense R&D, and keep it to one page, a couple of paragraphs at most. Tell them first what you want them to do, as above, then give them a paragraph or two of explanation. Important defense and civilian benefits at relatively low cost, good track record at Phillips, NASA for whatever reason is concentrating on other aspects of the technology, and so forth. Feel free to crib from Updates or even quote excerpts - but keep it short, make it persuasive, and again, keep it polite. (Freshmen have no numbers listed; you'll have to call the main Capitol switchboard at 202 224-3121 and ask for their offices by name. No guarantees the Democratic freshmen's names are spelled correctly; we were working from a faxed list that was blurry in that section.) House National Security Committee, R&D Subcommittee list voice fax - full committee chairman Spence, Floyd (R-02 SC) 1-202-225-2452 1-202-225-2455 - ranking minority member Dellums, Ronald V. (D-09 CA) 1-202-225-2661 1-202-225-9817 - subcommittee chairman Weldon, Curt (R-07 PA) 1-202-225-2011 1-202-225-8137 Bartlett, Roscoe G. (R-06 MD) 1-202-225-2721 1-202-225-2193 Kasich, John R. (R-12 OH) 1-202-225-5355 Bateman, Herbert H. (R-01 VA) 1-202-225-4261 1-202-225-4382 Hefley, Joel (R-05 CO) 1-202-225-4422 1-202-225-1942 McHugh, John M. (R-24 NY) 1-202-225-4611 1-202-226-0621 Hostettler, John (R-08 IN) 1-202-225-4636 1-202-225-4688 Chambliss, Saxby (R-08 GA) 1-202-225-6531 1-202-225-7719 Hilleary, Van (R-04 TN) 1-202-225-6831 1-202-225-4520 Scarborough, Joe (R-01 FL) 1-202-225-4136 1-202-225-5785 Jones, Walter (R-03 NC) 1-202-225-3415 1-202-225-0666 Mike Pappas (R NJ) Bob Riley (R AL) Jim Gibbons (R NV) - subcommittee ranking minority member Pickett, Owen B. (D-02 VA) 1-202-225-4215 1-202-225-4218 Abercrombie, Neil (D-01 HI) 1-202-225-2726 1-202-225-4580 Meehan, Martin T. (D-05 MA) 1-202-225-3411 1-202-226-0771 Harman, Jane (D-36 CA) 1-202-225-8220 1-202-226-0684 McHale, Paul (D-15 PA) 1-202-225-6411 1-202-225-5320 Kennedy, Patrick (D-01 RI) 1-202-225-4911 1-202-225-4417 Rod Blagnjevich (D IL) Silvestre Reyes (D TX) Tony Allen (D ME) Jim Turner (D TX) Loretta Sanchez (D CA) If you don't live in (or awfully near) any of the above districts (a phone call to your local library information desk should tell you whose district you're in) you might want to try writing or faxing one of the following Senators on the Senate Armed Services Committee Technology Subcommittee. We hear we already have some support on the Senate side, but it can't hurt to let them know what you think if you live in one of these states. We'll leave digging out the contact info as an exercise for the reader. Rick Santorum, R PA Olympia Snowe, R ME Pat Roberts, R KS Robert Smith, R NH Joseph Lieberman, D CT Edward Kennedy, D MA Jeff Bingaman, D NM Thanks! -----------------------(SAS Policy Boilerplate)------------------------ Space Access Update is Space Access Society's when-there's-news publication. Space Access Society's goal is to promote affordable access to space for all, period. We believe in concentrating our resources at whatever point looks like yielding maximum progress toward this goal. Right now, we think this means working our tails off trying to get the government to build and fly multiple quick-and-dirty high-speed reusable "X-rocket" demonstrators in the next three years, in order to quickly build up both experience with and confidence in reusable Single-Stage To Orbit (SSTO) technology. The idea is to reduce SSTO technical uncertainty (and thus development risk and cost) while at the same time increasing investor confidence, to the point where SSTO will make sense as a private commercial investment. We're not far from that point. With luck and hard work, we should see fully-reusable rocket testbeds flying into space before the end of this decade, with practical radically cheaper orbital transports following soon after. Space Access Society won't accept donations from government launch developers or contractors - it would limit our freedom to do what's needed. We survive on member dues and contributions, plus what we make selling tapes and running our annual conference. Join us, and help us make it happen. Henry Vanderbilt, Executive Director, Space Access Society To join Space Access Society or buy the SSTO/DC-X V 3.1 video we have for sale (Two hours, includes all twelve DC-X/XA flights, X-33 bidder animations, X-33, DC-X and SSTO backgrounders, aerospike engine test- stand footage, plus White Sands Missile Range DC-X ops site footage) mail a check to: SAS, 4855 E Warner Rd #24-150, Phoenix AZ 85044. SAS membership with direct email of Space Access Updates is $30 US per year; the SSTO V 3.0 video is $25, $5 off for SAS members, $8 extra for shipping outside North America, US standard VHS NTSC only. __________________________________________________________________________ Space Access Society "Reach low orbit and you're halfway to anywhere 4855 E Warner Rd #24-150 in the Solar System." Phoenix AZ 85044 - Robert A. 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